TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 10:55 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Guinea-Bissau will win its professional AFCON Qualifiers soccer game against Tanzania. Currently, Kalshi gives Guinea-Bissau a 99.0% probability of winning, with Tanzania at 1.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Tanzania vs Guinea-Bissau match as determined by the official result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, according to Kalshi’s resolution source. Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled for September 25, 2026, as the final whistle will determine the winner and resolve this market.
The event resolves based on the result of the Tanzania vs Guinea-Bissau AFCON Qualifiers soccer match scheduled for September 25, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Tanzania scores more goals than Guinea-Bissau within this timeframe, the "Tanzania" market resolves to Yes. If Guinea-Bissau scores more goals, the "Guinea-Bissau" market resolves to Yes. If both teams score an equal number of goals, the "Tie" market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a wider range of information and opinions. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Discrepancies can arise from differing risk assessments, access to information, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tanzania vs Guinea-Bissau match as declared by the governing sporting body. Any potential postponements or cancellations will be factored into the resolution process, ensuring a fair and accurate outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for updates regarding the match schedule and final results to understand when this market will be settled.
Several signals could influence this market leading up to Sep 25, 2026. News regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff could all impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected results in other qualifying matches or significant weather forecasts affecting the game could also shift market sentiment. Major announcements about team lineups closer to the match date will likely cause volatility. Any information that alters the perceived competitive balance between Tanzania and Guinea-Bissau has the potential to move this market.