TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 11:45 AM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the National League game, scheduled for September 19 at 7:30 AM ET.
More markets for the National League game, scheduled for September 19 at 7:30 AM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, allows participants to publicly signal their beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately represent the true probabilities of different outcomes. Discrepancies between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders capitalize on mispricings between the two.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all participants on Polymarket, and is constantly updated based on supply and demand for shares in this specific market.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Tamworth vs. Wealdstone match will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. This includes official match statistics and final scores as reported by recognized sporting authorities. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and objective, ensuring that the market accurately reflects the real-world outcome of the football match.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could significantly impact perceived probabilities. Furthermore, shifts in public sentiment, fueled by media coverage or expert analysis, could also drive price fluctuations. Major events during the match itself, such as early goals or red cards, would likely cause substantial movement in the market as traders react to the unfolding situation. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential shifts in this market.