TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 9:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Tampa Bay or Philadelphia will win their professional baseball game scheduled for September 25, 2026. Currently, Kalshi gives Tampa Bay a 53.0% probability of winning, while Philadelphia is at 48.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Tampa Bay vs Philadelphia game, as determined by the official result if Philadelphia wins the game originally scheduled for Sep 25, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. Keep an eye on the game itself on September 25, 2026, as the result of that contest will determine the market’s outcome.
If Tampa Bay wins the Tampa Bay vs Philadelphia professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 25, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Philadelphia wins the Tampa Bay vs Philadelphia professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 25, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, reflecting their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by trader opinions and reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and more people participate. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as the event draws closer and more volume is traded.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and place bets, the prices adjust to reflect the changing consensus. This creates a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's potential results. The market's price discovery process is driven by supply and demand, allowing traders to express their beliefs and profit from accurate predictions.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers versus Philadelphia Eagles game. This includes verifying the official score and any relevant game statistics to determine the winning team. The platform relies on publicly available and widely accepted sources to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution process. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances shortly after the event concludes.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Buccaneers or the Eagles would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected team performance in preceding games could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, weather forecasts for the game day could play a role, particularly if conditions are expected to be unfavorable. Public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can also contribute to movements in this market, as traders react to evolving narratives and predictions.