TOTAL VOLUME:
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24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 24, 10:01 PM EST
Kalshi
In the Tampa Bay vs New York Y baseball match set for September 24, 2026, observers will note if the contest remains tied through the ninth inning, necessitating extra innings. Extra innings involve continuing play beyond the usual duration until a decisive ending is reached. The outcome depends solely on whether this extended gameplay is required.
If at least 1 extra inning is played in the Tampa Bay vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 24, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to unique data, or simply the dynamic nature of the trading process. It's common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information than sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a constantly updated probability assessment.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether the Tampa Bay vs New York Yankees game officially goes into extra innings, as determined by the official game results. The final result will be based on the official scoring of the game, and any disputes will be resolved using publicly available information. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine the winning contracts.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Tampa Bay or New York Yankees teams would likely cause movement. Weather forecasts predicting potential delays or changes to the game conditions could also impact the odds. Furthermore, updates on pitching matchups or changes in team strategy could lead traders to reassess their positions. Unexpected late-breaking news or shifts in public sentiment could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market before Sep 25, 2026.