TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 3:14 PM EST
Kalshi
The event involves a professional baseball game scheduled for September 22, 2026, where the outcome depends on whether the game extends beyond the standard nine innings. It will be determined by whether the teams continue playing additional innings due to a tie after the initial regulation time. This extension occurs when neither side secures a winning point by the end of the scheduled duration.
If at least 1 extra inning is played in the Tampa Bay vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 22, 2026 at 1:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of extra innings in the Tampa Bay vs New York baseball game. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of extra innings, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event’s likelihood.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether extra innings were officially played in the Tampa Bay vs New York baseball game. The official game results, as reported by a major sports news outlet, will determine if the market settles in favor of ‘Yes’ (extra innings played) or ‘No’ (game completed within the standard nine innings). The final price will reflect the probability of extra innings as assessed by traders on Kalshi prior to resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding potential weather delays impacting the game, or injuries to key players on either the Tampa Bay or New York team, could shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, updates on pitching matchups or changes in team strategy might also cause fluctuations. Unexpectedly high or low scoring games leading up to this contest could also influence perceptions of the likelihood of a close game extending into extra innings, thereby affecting volume and price.