TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 23, 10:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will win the professional baseball game between Tampa Bay and New York Y, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026. Currently, Kalshi shows New York Y winning with a probability of 98.0%, while Tampa Bay winning is priced at 2.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the game as reported by official sources, with resolution rules specifying a win for Tampa Bay as resolving the market to “No.” Keep an eye on September 24, 2026, as this is the estimated resolution date for the market and will reflect the final result of the game.
If Tampa Bay wins the Tampa Bay vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 23, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If New York Y wins the Tampa Bay vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 23, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows anyone to trade and express their belief about the outcome, potentially leading to odds that diverge from sportsbook lines as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of a decentralized market versus a centralized one.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tampa Bay vs New York game as reported by a trusted sporting news source. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances on Kalshi after the resolution is complete. The market will close prior to this date, preventing further trading as the event nears its conclusion.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or weather conditions could shift trader sentiment and impact the odds. Unexpected performance during other games leading up to the event could also influence perceptions of team strength. Major announcements related to the teams or players involved, or even significant public betting patterns observed elsewhere, could all contribute to movement in this market. Monitoring these signals can help traders make informed decisions.