TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 14, 10:07 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points are scored in the final quarter of a football game between Tampa Bay and New York. Each market has a different threshold for the total points scored by both teams combined during that specific quarter. The outcomes depend on whether the actual scoring exceeds the specified point totals.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both Tampa Bay and New York during the 4th quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for August 14, 2026, excluding any overtime periods. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points. If the combined score meets or exceeds the threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Only points scored during regulation play in the 4th quarter count toward these outcomes.
On Kalshi, traders actively set the odds for the 4th quarter total market, reflecting real-time sentiment and analysis. These prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to unique trader dynamics and market-specific factors. While sportsbooks may incorporate broader public betting trends and adjusted margins, prediction markets provide a more granular, community-driven view of expected outcomes. The contrast between the two can highlight shifts in trader confidence or emerging insights not yet reflected in mainstream sports odds.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous trading where participants buy and sell contracts based on their outlook for the game's 4th quarter total. The current probability reflects the collective assessment of all active traders, adjusting dynamically with new information and shifting expectations. Volume of $5,866 shows overall interest, while 24-hour volume of $5,866 indicates recent activity levels. This pricing mechanism captures specialized trader perspectives distinct from traditional sportsbook models.
This market resolves around Aug 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the game, specifically the total points scored in the fourth quarter, will determine the result, and it will be settled based on official box scores and widely accepted sports data sources.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions affecting gameplay, and strategic decisions by coaches can all shift expectations for scoring in the fourth quarter, moving this market. Additionally, any significant momentum swings during the game or changes in betting volume on Kalshi may cause price adjustments as the event approaches its conclusion.