TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 14, 10:07 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Tampa Bay or New York specifically within the final quarter of their scheduled football game. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered valid.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential achieved by either team during the 4th quarter of the Tampa Bay vs New York Pro Football game scheduled for August 14, 2026, excluding any overtime periods. Each market specifies a unique threshold—ranging from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points—for either Tampa Bay or New York to win by in order to resolve as 'Yes.' If the actual point differential in the 4th quarter meets or exceeds the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves positively; otherwise, it resolves negatively. All markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. Only points scored during regulation play in the 4th quarter count; overtime points are excluded from consideration for all markets.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often diverge from sportsbook odds due to different participant motivations and information sources. Traders may price in nuances such as recent performance trends or injury updates that sportsbooks might not fully incorporate. The volume of $3,775 indicates strong engagement in this market. While sportsbooks set lines based on broader public betting patterns and adjustments, prediction markets offer a more granular view shaped by active participants’ expectations for the 4th quarter spread.
This market resolves around Aug 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread after the 4th quarter will be compared against the market’s defined terms, and the result will be finalized based on official game records and widely accepted sports data sources.
Several signals could shift this market before Aug 15, 2026. Key team announcements such as starting lineups, injury reports, or strategic changes may influence trader expectations. Performance metrics from earlier quarters, especially momentum shifts or critical plays, often guide market adjustments. Public analysis from respected sports commentators or data-driven forecasts can also sway sentiment. As the game progresses, real-time scoring updates and momentum swings will likely cause fluctuations. The volume of $2,842 may rise sharply around these events, reflecting heightened trader activity and information flow.