TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 14, 8:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on the point differential between Tampa Bay and New York during the second quarter of their scheduled football game. Each market has a different threshold for how many points one team must win by in that specific quarter for the outcome to be considered a success.
These markets evaluate whether New York or Tampa Bay secures a second-quarter victory by exceeding specific point margins in the designated game. Each rule corresponds to a distinct point-differential threshold—ranging from over 2.5 to over 10.5 points—for either team. The outcome hinges solely on points scored during the second quarter of play; any points from other quarters are irrelevant. If the winning team’s point margin in the second quarter surpasses the specified threshold, the respective market resolves positively; otherwise, it resolves negatively. All markets operate independently, allowing for multiple resolutions based on the exact margin of victory within that quarter.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the price based on their expectations for New York’s second-quarter performance relative to Tampa Bay. The current top outcome reflects the market’s best guess, with volume of $8,823 showing overall interest. Prices adjust continuously as new information emerges, allowing participants to react quickly to shifts in team form or game dynamics.
This market resolves around Aug 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on the official game statistics for the second quarter, specifically the point differential between the two teams at the end of that period. No additional interpretation or external data sources are required beyond what is publicly recorded.
Injuries, coaching strategies, and recent performance trends — especially in early-game situations — could shift expectations for this market. Key events such as player updates, weather forecasts affecting early gameplay, and even pre-game media commentary may influence trader sentiment. Any development that impacts how likely New York is to cover the second-quarter spread can cause rapid price changes on Kalshi as participants adjust their positions.