TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 17, 12:09 AM EST
Kalshi
This event allows bettors to predict individual team performance, with separate outcomes for Los Angeles Dodgers and Tampa Bay run totals in their June 16, 2026 game. Each team's scoring is evaluated independently.
Resolution is determined by the individual run totals scored by Los Angeles Dodgers and Tampa Bay in the professional baseball game originally scheduled for June 16, 2026 at 10:10 PM EDT. Los Angeles Dodgers outcomes resolve to Yes if that team scores at or above the specified threshold, while Tampa Bay outcomes resolve to Yes if Tampa Bay scores at or above its specified threshold. Each team's performance is evaluated separately based on the final official game score.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market's odds may lead or lag traditional sportsbook lines depending on which venue has faster information flow or deeper liquidity. Comparing the two can reveal whether professional traders or the broader prediction market crowd sees different value in the team total outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different team total outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective confidence of active traders, with higher prices indicating stronger belief in that result. As new information emerges or trading interest shifts, prices adjust in real time, ensuring the market continuously reprices the probability of the Tampa Bay team total hitting various thresholds before the event concludes.
This market resolves around Jun 17, 2026, once the Tampa Bay versus Los Angeles game concludes and the final team total is confirmed. The outcome is verified against credible public sources reporting the official score, ensuring accuracy and fairness for all traders. Until that point, this market remains open for trading, allowing participants to adjust positions based on pre-game developments, injury reports, or shifting expectations about offensive performance.
Key catalysts for this market include injury announcements affecting either team's offensive lineup, recent offensive performance trends, and weather conditions on game day. Changes in betting line movement at major sportsbooks can also signal sharp action and influence trader sentiment here. Coaching adjustments, player trades, or unexpected roster moves closer to tipoff may trigger repricing. Real-time game flow—early scoring pace, defensive adjustments, and momentum swings—will drive the most significant price movements as the event unfolds and traders update their expectations for the final team total.