TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 16, 12:55 AM EST
Kalshi
This event measures strikeout performance by starting pitchers in the Tampa Bay vs Los Angeles Dodgers game on June 15, 2026. Strikeouts are recorded when a pitcher throws three strikes to a batter.
Settlement is based on strikeouts recorded by each starting pitcher during the game. A pitcher must be designated as a starting pitcher and record at least one pitch for the market to settle on actual performance; otherwise it resolves to fair market price. Relief appearances do not count toward strikeout totals. If a pitcher is scratched or is not a starting pitcher, the market resolves to fair market price regardless of whether they enter the game later.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may show different implied probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, particularly as new information emerges closer to game time. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd on Kalshi sees value relative to conventional betting markets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the balance between buyers and sellers at any given moment. As traders adjust their positions based on new information or changing expectations, the contract price moves continuously. This real-time pricing allows you to enter or exit positions at transparent, market-determined rates throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Jun 16, 2026, once the game concludes and the final strikeout total is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the combined strikeouts recorded by both teams during the matchup. Resolution occurs after official box scores and game statistics are confirmed and made publicly available. Traders should monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to ensure they understand the final tally.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before resolution. Pitcher announcements and lineup changes for either team may alter strikeout expectations significantly. Weather conditions, field dimensions, and umpire tendencies can all influence strikeout rates. Breaking news about player injuries or roster adjustments could trigger sharp price movements. As game time nears, updated betting action and professional analysis often drive late trading activity. Real-time game developments during the matchup itself will also be reflected in final market pricing.