TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 28, 9:46 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the performance difference between Tampa Bay and Jacksonville during the third quarter of their scheduled football game. Each market focuses on different point spreads to determine the outcome based on who leads and by how much during that specific quarter.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential between Tampa Bay and Jacksonville during the third quarter of the game scheduled for August 28, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold for the point spread that must be exceeded for a 'Yes' resolution. If Jacksonville wins the third quarter by more than the specified spread (ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points), the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes.' Conversely, if Tampa Bay wins the third quarter by more than the specified spread (also ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points), that market resolves to 'Yes.' Only points scored during the third quarter count toward these resolutions, and no other quarters or overtime periods are considered. The markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately, and only the markets with spreads exceeded by the actual third-quarter point differential will resolve to 'Yes,' with all others resolving to 'No.' Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through a continuous order book where buyers and sellers agree on the odds for each possible outcome. The current top outcome reflects the highest bid or lowest ask that has available liquidity. This mechanism allows the market to adjust dynamically based on new information, such as coaching strategies or player availability, which could shift expectations for the third quarter. The resulting price represents the collective wisdom of participants on Kalshi for this specific timeframe.
This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game statistics for the third quarter, specifically comparing the points scored by each team to the spread set at the start of that period. Once the game concludes and the scores are officially reported, the market will settle based on whether Tampa Bay or Jacksonville met the spread requirement for that quarter alone.
Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including key player injuries, coaching adjustments, or weather conditions that may affect the third quarter specifically. Reports on team strategies or practice performances might also influence trader sentiment, especially if they suggest a team is focusing on a strong third-quarter performance. Additionally, any changes to the official spread line on sportsbooks could create ripple effects, as traders may adjust their positions based on new expectations for how the quarter will unfold.