TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 28, 8:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the outcome of the first quarter in an upcoming football game between Tampa Bay and Jacksonville. Each market evaluates different point spreads to determine which team dominates early in the game.
These markets resolve based on the point differential between Tampa Bay and Jacksonville during the first quarter of their scheduled game on August 28, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold for the winning margin: if Jacksonville wins by more than 10.5, 7.5, 6.5, or 3.5 points, or if Tampa Bay wins by more than 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points in that quarter, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Only points scored in the first quarter count, and all markets operate independently, allowing for multiple resolutions depending on the actual margin. The markets are not endorsed by the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a different risk assessment than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks may set their spreads based on broader public betting trends and sharp money, prediction markets price in the probability of the spread outcome based solely on trader activity. This can lead to tighter or wider spreads depending on how Kalshi participants evaluate team performance, momentum, and game conditions.
This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on the official game statistics for the first quarter, specifically the point differential between the two teams at the end of that period.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions on game day, and any last-minute coaching changes could shift this market. Additionally, strong pre-game practices or media commentary highlighting one team’s tactical advantages may influence trader sentiment. As kickoff approaches, any news impacting team form or motivation could cause rapid price swings on Kalshi.