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Tampa Bay vs Houston: Total Runs
kalshi

How many total runs will be scored in Tampa Bay vs Houston?

Volume:
$1,804,152

Over 7.5 runs scored

 - Kalshi

Over 7.5 runs scored - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 5, 2026

Closed: Jul 4, 10:24 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Over 7.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$364,507
N/A
N/A
$200,812
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 14.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$225,449
N/A
N/A
$117,656
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 9.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$186,722
N/A
N/A
$71,994
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 11.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$176,264
N/A
N/A
$81,881
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 17.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$139,367
N/A
N/A
$76,823
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 13.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$103,547
N/A
N/A
$59,329
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 12.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$103,252
N/A
N/A
$42,769
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 8.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$102,029
N/A
N/A
$61,699
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 10.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$85,141
N/A
N/A
$43,750
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 15.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$80,952
N/A
N/A
$37,958
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 6.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$55,412
N/A
N/A
$29,197
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 16.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$50,633
N/A
N/A
$31,762
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 4.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$36,341
N/A
N/A
$13,507
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 5.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$26,932
N/A
N/A
$13,877
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 3.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,263
N/A
N/A
$4,518
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 2.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,037
N/A
N/A
$6,296
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 1.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$870
N/A
N/A
$856
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 18.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$49,434
N/A
N/A
$19,550
Settled
No
Total markets: 18

Intro

This market on Kalshi tracks whether Tampa Bay and Houston will combine to score more than 5.5 runs in their professional baseball matchup. The leading outcome currently stands at 99.0% probability. Resolution is determined by the official combined run total from the game as recorded in the box score. Watch for the game scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, which will settle this market based on the final combined runs scored by both teams.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final official score of the Tampa Bay vs Houston professional baseball game originally scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT. Each market within this event corresponds to a specific run total threshold. A market resolves to Yes if the combined runs scored by both teams exceed the stated threshold (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, 8.5, 9.5, 10.5, or 11.5 runs). For example, the Over 3.5 runs market resolves to Yes if the teams combine for 4 or more runs. The Over 1.5 runs market resolves to Yes if the teams combine for 2 or more runs. Each threshold operates independently, allowing bettors to express granular predictions about offensive output in the game.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Tampa Bay vs Houston total runs market dashboard tracks real-time odds and price movement for this baseball matchup. The interface displays current market pricing, historical price charts, and trading volume data that reflect how traders are positioning themselves on the combined run total for the game. You can monitor shifts in consensus as new information emerges, from lineup announcements to weather updates, all in one centralized view designed for active prediction market participants.

Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and audiences. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. Traders here are incentivized to identify mispricing relative to traditional sportsbooks, which can lead to sharper, more efficient odds over time. Comparing this market's pricing to major sportsbook lines can reveal where the crowd sees value or risk in the total runs outcome.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total run outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each contract reflects the probability traders assign to that outcome, with prices ranging from near-zero to near-100 cents. As new trades execute, the price adjusts in real time, allowing the market to incorporate breaking news, injury reports, and other game-relevant information instantly.

This market resolves around Jul 5, 2026, once the Tampa Bay versus Houston game concludes and the final run total is confirmed. The outcome is determined by the official combined runs scored by both teams during regulation play. Resolution is verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy and fairness for all traders.

Key catalysts for this market include starting pitcher announcements, bullpen availability, and recent offensive trends for both teams. Weather conditions at game time—wind speed and direction particularly affect fly-ball outcomes—can shift run-scoring expectations significantly. Injury updates to star hitters or defensive players, lineup changes, and historical head-to-head performance in similar conditions all influence trader positioning. Late-breaking news about team strategy or roster adjustments in the hours before first pitch often triggers sharp repricing.