TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 25, 7:00 PM EST
Kalshi
For the Tampa Bay versus Detroit professional baseball matchup, this event will settle based on whether a run is scored by either team in the first inning. The result hinges entirely on scoring activity within the opening inning, with no consideration for later innings or overall game outcome.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Tampa Bay vs Detroit professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 25, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the odds for this market through a continuous order book, where each contract represents a binary outcome — Tampa Bay scores first or Detroit scores first. The current top chance reflects aggregated trader sentiment, adjusted for liquidity and recent trades. Volume of $280,780 shows overall interest, while price fluctuations respond to new information like lineup changes or weather updates affecting early-game strategy.
This market resolves around Aug 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by which team scores the first run in the actual game — no adjustments for weather delays or official scoring disputes. Once the first-inning action concludes and the run is recorded, the market settles instantly based on public box scores and game logs.
Key signals that could shift this market include last-minute lineup changes, especially to starting pitchers or key hitters, as well as weather forecasts impacting early-game conditions. Injuries announced close to game time, bullpen updates, or even stadium-specific factors like field conditions can also influence trader sentiment. Any news that alters the perceived likelihood of an early scoring opportunity will likely cause price swings before the first pitch.