TOTAL VOLUME:
$148.3b
24H VOL:
$206,446,559
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,817,056,367
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,853,498,357
475,549
Markets across
35,554
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,812
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Oct 8, 11:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether George Pickens will score one or more touchdowns in the Tampa Bay versus Dallas professional football game. Currently, Kalshi gives a 22.0% probability to Pickens achieving this, while the second most likely outcome – Javonte Williams scoring two or more touchdowns – is priced at 18.0%. The market will resolve based on whether the Dallas Cowboys D/ST scores at least one touchdown during the game, as determined by official game results. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 8, 2026, as the outcome will be determined by scoring during that contest and resolve by October 9, 2026.
These markets resolve based on whether the specified defensive unit scores at least one touchdown in the Tampa Bay vs Dallas Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 8, 2026. If the defensive unit is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once the unit takes at least one snap, even if nullified by penalty, the market settles based on touchdowns scored. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house biases or initial public perception. While sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, this market allows individuals to express their own beliefs about the likelihood of different touchdown totals. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information or interpretations, and these differences can present opportunities for arbitrage or informed trading. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of the likelihood of various touchdown scenarios in the game.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final touchdown count from the Tampa Bay versus Dallas game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, as reported by recognized sports data providers. The market will determine which side of the contract – over or under a specific touchdown threshold – is the winning outcome based on the official game results. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Tampa Bay or Dallas teams would likely cause significant movement, as this directly impacts scoring potential. Changes in weather forecasts – particularly conditions favoring passing or running offenses – could also shift the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or defensive adjustments could impact trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price fluctuations in this market.