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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,853,498,357
475,549
Markets across
35,554
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Oct 8, 11:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether George Pickens will exceed 60 receiving yards in the Tampa Bay vs Dallas professional football game. Currently, Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to Pickens achieving this yardage total. The market will resolve based on whether Jake Ferguson records 15+ receiving yards in the game, as determined by official game statistics. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 8, 2026, as the outcome hinges on player performance during that fixture and will resolve by October 9, 2026.
All markets refer to the Tampa Bay vs Dallas Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 8, 2026. For any player listed, if the player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once a player takes at least one snap — even if that snap is nullified by a penalty — the market settles based on the total receiving yards the player records in that game. All markets resolve to 'Yes' if the specified player records the exact threshold or more receiving yards; otherwise, they resolve to 'No'. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a ‘vig’ or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders, aims to represent the true probability of events, though discrepancies can occur. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on expert analysis, this market evolves in real-time as new information and opinions are factored in by participants, potentially leading to different implied probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their predictions are correct. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are a direct result of traders’ beliefs and actions, creating a dynamic and informative view of expectations for the Tampa Bay vs Dallas game.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage totals for the Tampa Bay vs Dallas game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official statistics released by the league following the completion of the game. Traders who correctly predicted the receiving yardage outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution. The market will be considered settled when the official results are widely available and undisputed.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or tight ends on either the Tampa Bay or Dallas teams would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that might favor a passing or running game, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about player matchups or strategic changes by either coaching staff could also move this market, as traders adjust their expectations based on the latest information.