TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 2:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Joe Burrow scores one or more touchdowns in the Tampa Bay versus Cincinnati professional football game. Currently, the probability of Joe Burrow scoring 1+ touchdowns on Kalshi is 80.0%, while Bucky Irving scoring 3+ touchdowns is at 19.0%. The market will resolve based on whether Colbie Young scores at least 2+ touchdowns in the game, as determined by the official game results. Keep an eye on the game originally scheduled for September 13, 2026, as that is the date this market will resolve based on player performance during that fixture.
All markets resolve based on whether specified players score a minimum number of touchdowns in the Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati Pro Football game scheduled for Sep 13, 2026. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to the actual number of touchdowns they score during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistency in resolution regardless of the player's specific touchdown threshold.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by trader predictions, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information is factored in. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market reflects the wisdom of the crowd and can diverge as new data emerges or public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the number of touchdowns scored. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that specific outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective prediction. The market depth, shown by the order book, indicates how much volume is available at different price points, influencing how easily prices can move.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of touchdowns scored in the Tampa Bay versus Cincinnati game will be used to determine which contracts payout. Resolution will depend on official game statistics, and any disputes will be handled according to Kalshi’s standard procedures. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results to understand the market’s settlement.
Several factors could influence this market before the game concludes. Injury reports for key players on both teams, particularly quarterbacks and wide receivers, would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the expected scoring rate. Unexpected news regarding team strategies or coaching decisions might also shift trader sentiment. Finally, any significant shifts in public opinion, reflected in betting trends or expert analysis, could impact the price of contracts in this market.