TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 2:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the combined scoring performance of two football teams in a specific game, focusing on how many times they successfully cross the goal line for points. The outcome depends entirely on the game's final statistics, reflecting both teams' offensive efficiency and the defensive challenges they face. It captures a snapshot of offensive productivity in a single contest.
All markets resolve based on the total number of touchdowns scored by both Tampa Bay and Cincinnati during their Pro Football game scheduled for September 13, 2026, with each market requiring a different minimum threshold (ranging from 3 to 8 touchdowns) for a 'Yes' outcome. Touchdowns scored in overtime count toward the total for all markets. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original scheduled time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game does not begin within 48 hours of its scheduled start time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific threshold they track. The markets operate independently but share these core resolution principles.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the diverse perspectives of traders. Sportsbooks set opening lines based on their own analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – both prediction market prices and sportsbook odds will adjust. It’s common to see prediction markets, like this one, converge with sportsbook odds closer to the event, but divergences can persist, potentially offering value to informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total number of touchdowns. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price fluctuations. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb, and vice-versa.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total number of touchdowns scored in the Tampa Bay versus Cincinnati game will be tallied from official game statistics. The market will then settle to reflect the actual total, paying out to those who correctly predicted the outcome. It’s important to note that the official game statistics are the sole determinant of the resolution, ensuring a transparent and objective process.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries to quarterbacks, wide receivers, or tight ends on either the Tampa Bay or Cincinnati teams would likely cause price shifts. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if a game is expected to be played in adverse conditions, could also influence the perceived scoring potential. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also move the market. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, reflected in betting trends or expert analysis, could contribute to price fluctuations in this market.