TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 4:08 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two football teams in a specific game, focusing on how many touchdowns each team scores. The outcome depends on whether the teams reach certain threshold numbers of touchdowns during the match. The rules account for potential game delays, ensuring fair resolution based on start times.
The event evaluates various touchdown thresholds for both Tampa Bay and Cincinnati in their Pro Football game scheduled for September 13, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific touchdown count requirement for either team—ranging from 2+ to 5+ touchdowns. If the named team achieves the specified number of touchdowns or more, the respective market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets are contingent on the game actually taking place. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific touchdown outcomes.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks may initially set lines to attract action, whereas this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently as new information becomes available, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than traditional betting lines. However, discrepancies can exist due to differing market participants and information access.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the number of touchdowns scored. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective predictions of the traders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the price of that contract will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, offering a forward-looking assessment of the game's potential scoring.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official number of touchdowns scored by each team during the game, as recorded by official league statistics. The market will determine which outcome—representing the total touchdowns scored by each team—accurately reflects the final result. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. News regarding key player injuries to quarterbacks, running backs, or wide receivers on either team would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions expected to favor either a passing or running game, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game might also influence predictions. Finally, any late-breaking news about team morale or internal conflicts could contribute to movement in the NFL team touchdowns market.