TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 4:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the margin of victory in an upcoming football game, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively one team will win over the other. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold, reflecting different levels of certainty about the game's outcome.
The markets resolve based on the point differential from the Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati Pro Football game scheduled for September 13, 2026. Each market specifies a threshold for the winning team's margin of victory. If Cincinnati wins by exceeding the specified points threshold, the corresponding 'Cincinnati wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes; if Tampa Bay wins by exceeding its specified threshold, that market resolves to Yes. All markets are independent, meaning each resolves solely based on its own condition regardless of other outcomes. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more nuanced outlook than traditional sportsbook lines, incorporating real-time trader sentiment and detailed analysis. While sportsbooks set their lines based on a mix of analytics and betting action, prediction markets let participants bet directly on their expectations, sometimes showing sharper or earlier shifts in perceived advantage.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine the price through continuous trading, adjusting the odds based on new information such as team news, injuries, or weather conditions. The current top outcome reflects the collective judgment of participants about which team is likely to cover the spread, expressed as a probability that evolves with each trading session.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be compared to the posted spread to determine which side covered, and that result will settle all positions on the market.