TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 5:20 PM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks quarterback performance in a specific football game, focusing on how many times they attempt to pass the ball. Outcomes depend on whether each player meets or exceeds various thresholds of pass attempts during the match.
All markets resolve based on the total passing attempts recorded by the specified quarterback in the Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati Pro Football game scheduled for Sep 13, 2026. If the quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once the quarterback takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles according to the actual number of passing attempts recorded during the game. Each market has a distinct threshold (e.g., 30+, 31+, etc.) for resolving as 'Yes' or 'No'. The markets are independent, and each threshold must be met or exceeded for its respective 'Yes' outcome to apply. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market’s prices are determined by individuals trading based on their own research and insights. If a significant discrepancy exists, it might indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final passing attempt total from the Tampa Bay versus Cincinnati game, as reported by official NFL statistics, will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official game data, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all traders. It’s important to monitor the game closely as it approaches the resolution date to understand potential catalysts.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that favor a running game over passing, could also shift expectations. Late-breaking reports on team strategies or play-calling tendencies could also move the market. Monitoring these signals and analyzing their potential impact on passing attempts is crucial for informed trading.