TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 1:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming professional football game between Tampa Bay and Cincinnati. It includes scenarios where either team scores first or if no touchdown is scored at all during the game, including any overtime periods.
The event determines which team scores the first touchdown in the Tampa Bay vs. Cincinnati Pro Football game scheduled for September 13, 2026, with three possible outcomes: Cincinnati scores first, Tampa Bay scores first, or neither team scores a touchdown. All touchdowns—offensive, defensive, or special teams—count towards the outcome, including those scored in overtime. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. The event is independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a wider range of information and real-time adjustments as traders buy and sell contracts. You might find that this market’s odds more quickly incorporate news or signals that affect the likelihood of a particular team scoring first. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders directly set the prices for contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, each team scoring the first touchdown. As more people buy a contract, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability of that outcome occurring. Conversely, selling a contract lowers its price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome, and traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the event’s outcome and trading accordingly.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team scores the first touchdown in the game between Tampa Bay and Cincinnati. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and play-by-play data. It’s important to note that any scoring plays subject to review or overturned by officials will be reflected in the final resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either team would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor a specific team’s offensive style, could also impact the odds. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game might also shift trader sentiment. Finally, even public perception and betting trends reported by sports news outlets can contribute to fluctuations in this market as traders react to new information.