TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 9:35 PM EST
Kalshi
Two USL Championship soccer teams compete in a match where bettors assess whether the combined goals exceed various thresholds. The outcome hinges purely on the final score after regulation time, ignoring any additional periods.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored by both teams in the Tampa Bay vs Birmingham Legion FC professional USL Championship soccer game scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from goal counts. Each market has a specific threshold: over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals. If the actual total goals exceed the threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management strategies, while this market relies on individuals predicting the outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of the anticipated result, though direct comparisons are not always straightforward due to differing market dynamics.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Tampa Bay vs Birmingham soccer match. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving expectations. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of the likelihood of various scenarios in the game.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the Tampa Bay vs Birmingham soccer match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will be paid out according to the contract's value at resolution, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment. The final score will be the determining factor for payout.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to the match. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Tampa Bay or Birmingham teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions unfavorable for high-scoring games, could also impact prices. Late-breaking team news, tactical announcements from the managers, or even shifts in public sentiment based on pre-match analysis could all contribute to fluctuations in this market as traders adjust their predictions.