TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 9:35 PM EST
Kalshi
In this matchup, the spread focuses on the margin of victory for either Tampa Bay or Birmingham Legion FC. The result depends solely on the difference in goals during regular time.
All markets resolve based on the goal differential in the Tampa Bay vs Birmingham Legion FC professional USL Championship soccer game scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded. Markets specify conditions such as Tampa Bay winning by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or Birmingham Legion FC winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. If the condition is met, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can reveal insights into where the market finds value and potential mispricings.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their predictions on the spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their contracts are held at resolution. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price dynamically adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s likelihood.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread of the Tampa Bay vs Birmingham soccer match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the officially reported spread following the completion of the game. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect spread will not. The platform will verify the outcome against official sources to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 20, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather forecasts could shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can also drive price movements. Additionally, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in expectations regarding the spread of the Tampa Bay vs Birmingham soccer match.