TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 9:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Tampa Bay and Birmingham Legion FC. The result will be determined based on the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. The event specifically excludes extra time and penalty shootouts as resolution factors.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Tampa Bay vs Birmingham Legion FC USL Championship soccer match scheduled for September 19, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs for the respective team market if that team wins the match within the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes' if the match ends in a draw after the same duration. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The resolution specifically excludes extra time and penalty shootout results. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. Often, prediction markets can be more accurate forecasts, especially when there’s significant public interest and information available. However, sportsbook odds are readily accessible and provide a common benchmark for comparison. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team strengths, injuries, or other factors influencing the outcome of the Tampa Bay vs Birmingham soccer match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts for a particular result, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a decentralized mechanism, allowing traders to directly influence the odds based on their own analysis and information. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date expectations about the Tampa Bay vs Birmingham soccer match.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tampa Bay vs Birmingham soccer match, as reported by official sources. The platform will verify the final score and determine the winning outcome based on that data. Traders who held contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event's progress as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before the Sep 20, 2026 resolution. Key player injuries or suspensions on either the Tampa Bay or Birmingham team would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also influence trading activity. Major weather forecasts impacting playing conditions could also play a role. Any significant news related to team strategy, coaching changes, or player morale could move the market as traders adjust their predictions about the Tampa Bay vs Birmingham soccer match.