TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 22, 9:49 PM EST
Kalshi
Tampa Bay and Baltimore could head into an unpredictable overtime period if they are still evenly matched after the ninth inning. Extra innings will decide the outcome, as both teams compete fiercely to avoid a stalemate.
If Tampa Bay and Baltimore go to extra innings in the Tampa Bay vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 22, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
On sportsbooks, the Extra Innings market often reflects broader public sentiment and historical trends, while prediction markets like Kalshi price in real-time trader sentiment and sharp analysis. This can lead to noticeable differences, especially when sharp money or insider expectations diverge from the general public. Prediction markets may show tighter spreads or more volatile pricing as traders react quickly to new information, whereas sportsbooks tend to stabilize odds based on larger betting volumes and risk management models. The contrast highlights how each marketplace balances public interest with professional trading behavior.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the odds through continuous bidding and asking, reflecting their collective view of the likelihood that the game will go into extra innings. The current probability is expressed as a decimal price, where higher values indicate a greater chance of the event occurring. Volume of $1,371 and recent 24-hour volume of $1,371 show how much trading activity is supporting these prices. Market depth and liquidity can shift quickly based on new game developments, news about team performance, or changes in starting lineups.
This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result depends on whether the Tampa Bay versus Baltimore game extends beyond the standard nine innings. If either team scores to force a continuation, the market settles in favor of extra innings. Official game records and reputable sports news sources will be used to verify the final result, ensuring transparency and accuracy for all participants.
Injuries to key pitchers, weather delays that extend game start times, or strategic decisions by managers regarding bullpen usage could all shift expectations for a nine-inning completion. Updates on starting lineups, especially regarding high-leverage relievers, may also influence trader sentiment. Additionally, any shift in betting trends or public discussion around the teams’ recent performance might affect market pricing. Real-time game developments, as reported by official league channels, will be the primary drivers of price movement leading up to resolution.