TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 12, 5:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will win the professional baseball game between Tampa Bay and the A's. On Kalshi, Tampa Bay has a current probability of 95.0% to win, while the A's are at 3.0%. The resolution source is based on the game's result as played or rescheduled from its original date. Watch for developments around the scheduled game date of August 12, 2026, as this is the key catalyst that will determine the market outcome.
The market resolves based on the result of the professional baseball game between Tampa Bay and the A's originally scheduled for August 12, 2026, at 3:05 PM EDT. If Tampa Bay wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes, and the A's' market resolves to No. Conversely, if the A's win, their market resolves to Yes, and Tampa Bay's market resolves to No. Should the game be postponed or delayed but played within two days of the original date, both markets remain open until the game concludes. If the game is canceled or rescheduled to more than two days after the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price, reflecting the likelihood of each team winning under the new circumstances. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect the collective wisdom of traders rather than set benchmarks. In this market, trader-driven probabilities may diverge from sportsbook favorites based on public betting trends, sharp money, and recent performance shifts. While sportsbooks set a line for the matchup, prediction markets let participants bet directly on the perceived likelihood of each outcome, sometimes offering sharper or more volatile prices depending on news and game dynamics.
This market resolves around Aug 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game outcome, which is compared against the market’s defined contracts. As the event date approaches, any last-minute updates or confirmed game details will lock in the final settlement, bringing closure to traders’ positions based on real-world results.