TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 4:43 AM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-07-21 23:07 UTC: If the Tampa Bay Rays win, the market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays". If the Toronto Blue Jays win, the market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-07-21 23:07 UTC: If the Tampa Bay Rays win, the market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays". If the Toronto Blue Jays win, the market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and attract different trader bases. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets reflect the aggregated beliefs of traders with real money at stake. This market may show different implied probabilities than traditional sports betting sites, especially as new information emerges or as game time approaches. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd's conviction differs from professional oddsmakers, though both should be treated as estimates rather than certainties.
On Opinion, this market is priced through continuous order-matching, where traders buy and sell shares tied to each possible outcome. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share represents a claim on the final result, and the current market price reflects the latest consensus among active traders. As new bets flow in, prices adjust in real time. The spread between bid and ask prices shows the cost of immediate execution, while deeper order books allow larger trades to move prices more gradually. This mechanism ensures prices stay responsive to breaking news and shifting expectations.
This market resolves around Jul 21, 2026, after the game concludes and the final result is confirmed. The outcome will be verified against credible public sources to determine which team won. Once the event is official and verifiable, the market will settle accordingly, and traders' positions will be paid out based on the confirmed result. Until that point, prices may continue to shift as new developments, injury reports, or other game-day factors emerge.
Several factors could shift prices significantly before game time. Injury announcements, lineup changes, or roster updates for either team often trigger sharp moves. Weather conditions, travel delays, or other logistical disruptions may also influence trader sentiment. Recent team performance, head-to-head records, and betting action from sharp bettors can accelerate price momentum. Breaking news about player availability or coaching decisions typically generates rapid repricing. As the game approaches, late-arriving information and momentum from other markets may compound these effects, so monitoring news feeds and order flow can help you anticipate volatility.