TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 5:08 AM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-09-25 22:40 UTC: If the Tampa Bay Rays win, the market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays". If the Philadelphia Phillies win, the market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-09-25 22:40 UTC: If the Tampa Bay Rays win, the market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays". If the Philadelphia Phillies win, the market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders on Opinion, aims to reflect the true probability of an event occurring, without an inherent profit margin for the market maker. Therefore, you may observe differences between the implied probabilities in this market and those offered by traditional sportsbooks, potentially revealing where public opinion diverges from professional analysis.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of participants. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will rise. Conversely, if traders believe an outcome is unlikely, the price will fall. This dynamic pricing system aims to converge towards a fair and accurate representation of the event's probability.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tampa Bay Rays versus Philadelphia Phillies game. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be eligible for payout based on the final market prices at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, starting pitcher changes, or weather forecasts impacting the game could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or performance analysis from experts could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a change in expectations, causing the market to react accordingly. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market before Sep 25, 2026.