TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 5:27 AM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-09-26 23:15 UTC: If the Tampa Bay Rays win, the market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays". If the Philadelphia Phillies win, the market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-09-26 23:15 UTC: If the Tampa Bay Rays win, the market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays". If the Philadelphia Phillies win, the market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when public opinion strongly favors one outcome. However, as the event approaches, the odds on Opinion and sportsbook lines tend to converge, as more information becomes available and both sides refine their assessments of the likely result.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly, offering a unique view on the potential result of the game.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official outcome of the Tampa Bay Rays versus Philadelphia Phillies game, as reported by official sports data providers. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders who correctly predicted the result will receive a payout based on the final market prices at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in pitching matchups, or weather forecasts impacting the game could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in preceding games by either team, or even broader trends in baseball statistics, might also play a role. Major announcements related to team strategy or player availability are also likely to cause fluctuations in the market as traders adjust their probabilities based on the latest information.