TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 10:15 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for September 26 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for September 26 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, incorporating a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, it may suggest that the crowd perceives information differently than the sportsbook, or that one venue has a more informed participant base. It's common to see prediction markets move more efficiently as new information becomes available, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than static sportsbook lines.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means that as more people buy contracts predicting a Rays win, the price of those contracts will increase, and the price of Phillies contracts will decrease. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time. The current implied probabilities are determined by these trading dynamics.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Tampa Bay Rays versus Philadelphia Phillies game will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source, ensuring an objective and verifiable outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in starting pitchers, or weather forecasts could cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected lineup announcements, or even reports on team morale, can also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, performance in preceding games, or even broader trends in team statistics, could lead to adjustments in the perceived probabilities. Major news events or even public statements from team personnel could all contribute to movement in this market up until Sep 27, 2026.