TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 4:16 AM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-09-24 23:05 UTC: If the Tampa Bay Rays win, the market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays". If the New York Yankees win, the market will resolve to "New York Yankees". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-09-24 23:05 UTC: If the Tampa Bay Rays win, the market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays". If the New York Yankees win, the market will resolve to "New York Yankees". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and specialized knowledge. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market represents what traders genuinely believe will happen. Over time, prediction market odds tend to be more accurate than traditional point spreads, although initial sportsbook odds can sometimes offer value before the market fully adjusts. It’s common to see this market diverge from initial sportsbook offerings, especially as new information emerges.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will rise. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly, creating a constantly evolving assessment of the game’s potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Tampa Bay Rays versus New York Yankees game will determine the winning outcome in this market. The outcome will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source, and will be used to determine which contracts pay out to traders. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries to either the Rays or the Yankees would likely cause a shift in probabilities. Changes in starting pitchers, weather forecasts impacting playing conditions, or even significant team performance in preceding games could all influence trader behavior. Unexpected lineup changes or late-breaking news about team strategies could also contribute to movement in this market, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions accordingly.