TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 6:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Tampa Bay professional baseball team will achieve at least 65 wins during the 2026 regular season. On Kalshi, the leading outcome—that Tampa Bay records 95 or more wins—stands at 99.0%. The market resolves according to the team's final win total in the 2026 regular season, with resolution expected by November 8, 2026. Watch the team's performance trajectory through the regular season schedule to gauge whether they will reach the 95-win threshold required for a Yes resolution.
Tampa Bay's 2026 regular season performance is evaluated across seven win thresholds. The team's final win total determines resolution, with each threshold representing a progressively higher achievement level. Only official wins count toward the total; tied games are excluded from the win count.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes, and the prices of these contracts determine the implied probabilities. As more traders participate, the prices converge towards what the market believes is the true probability of each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated assessment of all participants, and the market is highly liquid with a 24-hour volume of $215, indicating active trading and price discovery.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether the Tampa Bay baseball team achieves a winning season as defined by their final record. The final standings will be used to determine if the outcome meets the conditions for settlement. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi following official confirmation of the season results.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Key player injuries, unexpected trades, or a change in team performance could all cause the odds to shift. Major winning or losing streaks, particularly against strong opponents, will likely influence trader sentiment. Additionally, any news regarding the team's coaching staff or internal dynamics could also move the market. Monitoring these signals and their potential impact on the Tampa Bay baseball season is crucial for informed trading on Kalshi.