TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Tampa Bay pro baseball wins this season?
kalshi

Tampa Bay pro baseball wins this season?

Volume:
$34,772

90+ wins

 - Kalshi

90+ wins - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 20, 2026

Closed: Sep 13, 6:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

90+ wins

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,518
N/A
N/A
$6,079
1mo 1w 2d
Yes
kalshi

95+ wins

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,026
N/A
N/A
$5,160
1mo 1w 2d
Yes
kalshi

85+ wins

100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,480
N/A
N/A
$1,548
1mo 1w 2d
Yes
kalshi

80+ wins

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,856
N/A
N/A
$2,797
1mo 1w 2d
Yes
kalshi

75+ wins

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$497
N/A
N/A
$442
1mo 1w 2d
Yes
kalshi

70+ wins

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$240
N/A
N/A
$122
1mo 1w 2d
Yes
kalshi

65+ wins

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$155
N/A
N/A
$89
1mo 1w 2d
Yes
Total markets: 7

Intro

This market tracks whether the Tampa Bay professional baseball team will achieve at least 65 wins during the 2026 regular season. On Kalshi, the leading outcome—that Tampa Bay records 95 or more wins—stands at 99.0%. The market resolves according to the team's final win total in the 2026 regular season, with resolution expected by November 8, 2026. Watch the team's performance trajectory through the regular season schedule to gauge whether they will reach the 95-win threshold required for a Yes resolution.

Kalshi

Tampa Bay's 2026 regular season performance is evaluated across seven win thresholds. The team's final win total determines resolution, with each threshold representing a progressively higher achievement level. Only official wins count toward the total; tied games are excluded from the win count.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, risk assessments, or simply varying opinions on the team’s potential. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Tampa Bay baseball season.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes, and the prices of these contracts determine the implied probabilities. As more traders participate, the prices converge towards what the market believes is the true probability of each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated assessment of all participants, and the market is highly liquid with a 24-hour volume of $215, indicating active trading and price discovery.

This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether the Tampa Bay baseball team achieves a winning season as defined by their final record. The final standings will be used to determine if the outcome meets the conditions for settlement. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi following official confirmation of the season results.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Key player injuries, unexpected trades, or a change in team performance could all cause the odds to shift. Major winning or losing streaks, particularly against strong opponents, will likely influence trader sentiment. Additionally, any news regarding the team's coaching staff or internal dynamics could also move the market. Monitoring these signals and their potential impact on the Tampa Bay baseball season is crucial for informed trading on Kalshi.