TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 9, 2:30 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by Tajikistan and India (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Friendlies match scheduled for June 9, 2026, 15:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 9, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Limitless, this outcome is priced as a binary contract reflecting the aggregate probability that Tajikistan and India will receive 4 or more combined yellow and red cards. The price moves continuously as traders buy and sell shares, with each transaction updating the implied odds. Market depth and order flow on Limitless determine how quickly prices respond to new information about team lineups, injury reports, or historical card patterns in Tajikistan–India fixtures. Liquidity and trading volume directly influence the tightness of bid-ask spreads around this card-total threshold.
The market resolves on Jun 10, 2026, after the Tajikistan–India match concludes. Resolution is determined by the official final card count from the match, including all yellow and red cards issued to both teams combined. The outcome is binary: if the total reaches 4 or more cards, the affirmative position wins; if fewer than 4 cards are issued, the negative position wins. Official match records and governing body documentation serve as the authoritative source for settlement.
Key catalysts include team lineups and injury announcements, which may affect player availability and squad aggression. Referee assignment details can shift market odds, since different officials have distinct card-issuance tendencies. Recent disciplinary records, head-to-head history, and any pre-match controversies or tensions between the teams influence trader expectations of physicality. Weather conditions, pitch quality, and tournament stage pressure may also drive card frequency. Breaking news about suspensions, tactical changes, or player feuds can trigger sharp repricing as the market absorbs new information closer to kickoff.