TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 13, 7:50 AM EST
Kalshi
This event group covers a T20 International cricket match between Denmark and Hungary scheduled for July 13, 2026, as part of the T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier B tournament. Markets track the match winner, coin toss outcome, and match completion status, with resolution based on official published results from ESPNCricinfo.
This market refers to the cricket match between Denmark and Hungary scheduled for July 13 2026 in T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier B. This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution depends on the match outcome as declared by the governing body. If either team wins, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, draw, no result, abandonment, or cancellation with no official winner declared, all markets resolve to $0.50. Forfeits, disqualifications, or concessions occurring before the match begins result in $0.50 resolution; if they occur after play has begun and an official winner is declared, resolution follows that result. If play begins but insufficient play occurs to determine an official result, all markets resolve to $0.50.
Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets reflect live trader consensus—supply and demand for each outcome. Because prediction markets operate on peer-to-peer trading rather than a house edge model, odds can move more fluidly and often incorporate real-time information faster. For this match, comparing prediction market prices to major sportsbook lines can reveal whether one venue is pricing Denmark or Hungary more optimistically than the other, signaling where informed traders see value.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and trading mechanics. Polymarket and Kalshi may have distinct user bases with varying levels of familiarity with T20 cricket, leading to temporary price divergence. Platform-specific rules, fee structures, and settlement timelines can also influence how traders price risk. Additionally, one venue may see larger volume spikes tied to regional interest or promotional activity, pushing prices apart. These gaps typically narrow as the match date approaches and arbitrage traders exploit the difference.
Team news—injuries, roster changes, or lineup announcements—can shift market pricing significantly. Recent form, head-to-head records, and weather conditions on match day all influence trader sentiment. Betting volume spikes from major sportsbooks or media coverage of either team can cascade into prediction market moves. Venue-specific factors like pitch conditions or crowd dynamics may emerge closer to game time. Additionally, any official updates from the tournament organizers regarding scheduling or eligibility could trigger repricing across both platforms.