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T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali
kalshi
polymarket

T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali

Volume:
$58,018

Mali

 - Kalshi

Mali - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 11, 2026

Closed: May 25, 12:11 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Mali

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,330
N/A
N/A
$2,841
Settled
Yes
polymarket

T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali - Completed match?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$95
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$47,968
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ivory Coast

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,198
N/A
N/A
$5,823
Settled
No
polymarket

T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali - Who wins the toss?

View
0%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.2¢
—
N/A
$426
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers three related prediction markets for the T20 World Cup Sub Regional Africa Qualifier A match between Ivory Coast and Mali scheduled for May 25, 2026. The markets track the match winner, the coin toss winner, and whether the match is completed under official playing conditions.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use ESPN Cricinfo as the authoritative source and apply identical logic for match outcomes, tiebreaks, postponements, and cancellations across all three market variants.Primary resolution logic: ESPN Cricinfo (https://www.espncricinfo.com/)

Core resolution logic:

  • Match winner resolves based on the finalized result as published by ESPN Cricinfo; any on-field ruling (DLS, DRS, over-rate penalty, Super Over, forfeit, walkover) that produces a declared winner counts as a valid win
  • Tied matches with an available on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over) resolve according to the tiebreak winner; tied matches with no tiebreak available resolve 50-50
  • Coin toss market resolves based on the official toss winner recorded by ESPN Cricinfo, independent of match outcome or subsequent delays
  • Match completion market resolves Yes if an official result is declared (including draws recognized by the competition); resolves No if abandoned, No Result, or permanently canceled
  • Postponed or rescheduled matches remain open until the listed fixture is completed or permanently canceled

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tied Match Without Tiebreak: If the match ends tied and the playing conditions do not provide an on-field tiebreak mechanism, the market resolves 50-50
  • Postponement or Rescheduling: Markets remain open and resolve according to the result of the listed fixture when eventually played; if permanently canceled, resolve 50-50
  • Abandoned or No Result: If the match is abandoned, ends in No Result, or is completed without an official winner, match winner and completion markets resolve 50-50 and No respectively
  • Toss Without Match Completion: The coin toss market resolves based on the official toss result even if the match is subsequently delayed, relocated, abandoned, or no ball is bowled
  • Source Delay: If ESPN Cricinfo has not published final statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used as a fallback
Timing: Resolution occurs after the match is completed or permanently canceled, with ESPN Cricinfo publication as the trigger; coin toss market resolves immediately after the official toss is recorded; match completion market resolves when the final match status is published by ESPN CricinfoOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the cricket match between Ivory Coast and Mali scheduled for May 25 2026 in T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A. This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time trader sentiment rather than fixed bookmaker margins. Sportsbooks typically build in a vigorish and adjust lines based on liability management, while prediction markets aggregate decentralized bets with no intermediary markup. For the Ivory Coast vs Mali qualifier, comparing Polymarket implied probabilities to major sportsbooks reveals whether traders are pricing in factors—team form, injury updates, or venue conditions—faster or differently than oddsmakers. These differences can highlight value opportunities for informed bettors.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Kalshi does not currently host a market for the T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali match. Active trading and pricing for this event occurs exclusively on Polymarket, where the match outcome is priced based on real-time order flow and trader positions. If you are interested in trading this qualifier, Polymarket is the available venue for establishing positions and monitoring implied probabilities as the event approaches resolution.

Key catalysts for price movement include team roster announcements, injury reports affecting star players, recent head-to-head performance, and venue conditions closer to match day. Weather forecasts, pitch reports, and toss outcomes can shift trader expectations significantly in T20 cricket. Momentum from earlier qualifier matches, coaching changes, or player form in domestic leagues may also influence market sentiment. Media coverage and expert analysis released in the days before the match often trigger repricing as new information reaches traders. Real-time updates during warm-ups and the toss itself typically generate final volatility before the market locks.