TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 20, 4:30 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between West Indies and Sri Lanka scheduled for 2026-06-13 in T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to West Indies will be considered correct if West Indies is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Sri Lanka will be considered correct if Sri Lanka is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between West Indies and Sri Lanka scheduled for 2026-06-13 in T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to West Indies will be considered correct if West Indies is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Sri Lanka will be considered correct if Sri Lanka is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. For this market, prediction market participants may price the toss outcome differently than traditional bookmakers if they believe public or expert consensus is mispriced. Comparing the two can reveal where informed traders see value, though sportsbook odds remain the standard reference for sports betting. Both reflect probability estimates, but their sources of edge and risk management differ significantly.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker (AMM) mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each toss outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome fluctuates based on order flow and the ratio of liquidity pools, meaning large trades can move the odds more sharply than on order-book exchanges. Traders profit by correctly predicting the toss result, and the market price converges toward the true probability as new information emerges. Liquidity depth and trading volume influence how efficiently prices adjust to news or changing expectations.
This market resolves around Jun 20, 2026, once the T20 toss has been conducted and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the official toss call at the match venue, confirmed through broadcast coverage or official league announcements. Traders holding the correct outcome receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The resolution window typically closes shortly after the toss is announced, ensuring rapid settlement and preventing further trading once the event is finalized.
Several factors could shift odds before the toss occurs. Weather conditions, pitch reports, or team news affecting perceived advantage might influence trader positioning if either side is seen as favoring one outcome. Social media sentiment, expert predictions, or historical toss data shared by analysts can sway market participants. Late-breaking team lineup announcements or captain changes could trigger repricing if they alter strategic expectations. As the match date approaches, increased media coverage and betting activity typically drive volume and volatility. The market remains sensitive to any new information that traders believe affects the toss probability until the coin flip happens.