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$134.2b

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406,422

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5

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T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka
kalshi
polymarket

T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka

Volume:
$4,112,992

Sri Lanka

 - Kalshi

Sri Lanka - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 14, 2026

Closed: Jun 14, 12:31 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Sri Lanka

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,795,240
N/A
N/A
$779,656
Settled
Yes
polymarket

T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka - Who wins the toss?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$322
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka - Completed match?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
94¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

West Indies

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,052,436
N/A
N/A
$819,532
Settled
No
polymarket

T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$264,974
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 5

Intro

This market tracks whether West Indies will win the men's T20 International cricket match against Sri Lanka scheduled for June 13, 2026 at 8:30 PM EDT. Aggregating data from Kalshi and Polymarket, the consensus probability stands at 100.0% for a completed match outcome. Resolution will be determined by official ESPN Cricinfo records. Watch for the match completion on June 13, 2026, as this date marks both the event window and the trigger for final settlement across platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's match outcome market contains a logical contradiction: both possible match outcomes (West Indies win and Sri Lanka win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally incoherent and unresolvable under standard binary logic.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi match outcome market until clarification is obtained. The market definition violates basic logical consistency. Polymarket's match outcome and toss markets are well-formed and resolvable. Focus trading activity on Polymarket or await Kalshi correction.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Match outcome market maps both West Indies win and Sri Lanka win to Yes resolution. Logical contradiction makes market unresolvable. Quote: 'If West Indies wins...resolves to Yes. If Sri Lanka wins...resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Match outcome is a proper binary with mutual exclusivity. Resolves to finalized ESPN Cricinfo result. Ties without Super Over resolve 50-50. Quote: 'This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the cricket match between West Indies and Sri Lanka scheduled for June 13 2026 in T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka. This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

This event covers the West Indies vs Sri Lanka men's T20 International cricket match scheduled for June 13, 2026 at 8:30 PM EDT. Each market resolves to Yes if the respective team wins the match. If the match ends in a tie, draw, no result, abandonment, or cancellation with no official winner declared, all markets resolve to $0.50. In cases of forfeit, disqualification, or concession occurring before the match begins, all markets resolve to $0.50. If such events occur after play has begun and the governing body declares an official winner, markets resolve based on that declared result. If play commences but insufficient play occurs to determine an official result, all markets resolve to $0.50.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like those tracked here operate on peer-to-peer trading rather than fixed odds set by a bookmaker. This means prices reflect live consensus among traders rather than a sportsbook's margin-adjusted lines. Prediction market odds often move faster in response to breaking news, team updates, or injury reports. Comparing this market's prices to traditional sportsbooks can reveal value opportunities, though liquidity and available bet sizes differ significantly between venues.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, operates under distinct regulatory frameworks, and may list slightly different outcome definitions. Kalshi's series winner contract and Polymarket's toss-prediction market serve different strategic interests. Liquidity, trading hours, and fee structures also vary, causing temporary price gaps. Savvy traders exploit these spreads by buying low on one platform and selling high on another, though arbitrage opportunities typically close quickly as the market matures.

Key catalysts include team roster announcements, injury updates, weather forecasts for match venues, and recent form in warm-up games. Toss outcomes and early match momentum can shift prices sharply, especially in T20 where momentum swings are common. Betting syndicates and sharp money often move markets ahead of public awareness, so tracking large trades on both platforms provides early signals. Social media sentiment and expert commentary can also trigger retail trader activity and repricing.