TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 9, 12:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Sweden and Portugal scheduled for 2026-07-02 in T20 Series Sweden vs Portugal. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Sweden will be considered correct if Sweden is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Portugal will be considered correct if Portugal is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Sweden and Portugal scheduled for 2026-07-02 in T20 Series Sweden vs Portugal. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Sweden will be considered correct if Sweden is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Portugal will be considered correct if Portugal is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital. This market's odds may differ from traditional sportsbook lines because traders here are directly pricing their conviction about the toss outcome. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd on this platform sees value relative to conventional betting markets, though both sources provide useful reference points for understanding probability estimates.
This market resolves around Jul 9, 2026, once the T20 series toss event has concluded and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by what actually occurs during the toss ceremony, confirmed through official match records and reliable sports news sources. Traders holding positions aligned with the verified result will receive payouts, while opposing positions expire worthless. The exact resolution timing depends on when the match information becomes publicly available and is confirmed by the platform.
Several factors could shift prices in this market before resolution. Team news, injury updates, or lineup changes announced closer to match day may influence trader expectations about toss dynamics. Weather forecasts and pitch conditions could affect perceived advantage, prompting position adjustments. Social media sentiment and expert commentary from cricket analysts may sway participant confidence. Large trades by high-volume traders can also trigger momentum moves. As the match date approaches and more information becomes public, expect increased volatility and price adjustments reflecting the latest developments and refined probability estimates.