TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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T20 Series Ireland vs India: Ireland vs India
polymarket
kalshi

Who will win Ireland vs India?

Volume:
$9,676,241

Ireland

 - Kalshi

Ireland - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 26, 2026

Closed: Jun 28, 1:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ireland

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,549,889
N/A
N/A
$1,090,676
Settled
Yes
polymarket

T20 Series Ireland vs India: Ireland vs India

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,273,352
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

T20 Series Ireland vs India: Ireland vs India - Completed match?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
99.8¢
N/A
$560
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

India

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,851,755
N/A
N/A
$1,657,535
Settled
No
polymarket

T20 Series Ireland vs India: Ireland vs India - Who wins the toss?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$685
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 5

Intro

This market tracks the winner of a T20 International cricket match between Ireland and India scheduled for June 26–28, 2026. Across Polymarket and Kalshi, the consensus probability stands at 98.0% for one outcome and 1.0% for the other. Resolution will be determined by official ESPN Cricinfo records and competition governing body declarations. Watch for the match completion window ending on June 28, 2026, when the final result will be officially recorded and markets will settle.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's winner market contains a logical contradiction where both Ireland and India winning conditions resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Additionally, Polymarket and Kalshi disagree on the scheduled match date (June 26 vs June 28, 2026).Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's winner market until the logical error is corrected. The market as written cannot differentiate between outcomes. For Polymarket, verify the June 26 date against official T20 Series Ireland vs India fixtures. Cross-reference ESPN Cricinfo and the ICC/Cricket Ireland official schedules to confirm the true match date before committing capital.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate markets: (1) Match completion resolves Yes if official result declared (including DLS, Super Over, forfeit); resolves No if abandoned/no result/canceled. (2) Winner market resolves per finalized result; ties with Super Over use Super Over winner; ties without Super Over resolve 50-50; permanent cancellation/abandonment resolve 50-50. (3) Toss market resolves per official toss winner; if no toss conducted or fixture canceled before toss, resolves 50-50. Scheduled date: June 26, 2026. Source: ESPN Cricinfo.
  • Kalshi: Single winner market with contradictory resolution logic: 'If Ireland wins...then resolves Yes. If India wins...then resolves Yes.' Both conditional branches lead to Yes, making it impossible to differentiate outcomes. Scheduled date: June 28, 2026 at 8:30 AM EDT. No explicit handling of ties, cancellations, or abandonment.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the cricket match between Ireland and India scheduled for June 26 2026 in T20 Series Ireland vs India. This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

The match resolves to the declared winner. If the match ends in a tie, draw, no result, abandonment, or cancellation with no official winner declared, all markets resolve to $0.50. In case of forfeit, disqualification, or concession before the match begins, all markets resolve to $0.50. If such events occur after play has begun and the governing body declares an official winner, the market resolves based on that result. If play begins but insufficient play occurs to determine an official result, all markets resolve to $0.50.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate on peer-to-peer trading, where odds emerge from supply and demand rather than a bookmaker's margin. This typically produces tighter spreads and faster price discovery than traditional sportsbooks, especially for niche events like bilateral T20 series. Sportsbooks build in vig and limit liability; prediction markets reward accurate traders directly. For this matchup, comparing this market's implied probabilities to major sportsbook lines can reveal arbitrage opportunities or consensus gaps worth monitoring.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which can create temporary price gaps. Polymarket's order-book model and Kalshi's binary contract design may process new information at different speeds. Regulatory differences, withdrawal policies, and user base geography also influence how quickly each platform reprices. Arbitrageurs typically exploit these spreads, but during low-volume periods or major news events, divergence can persist and widen.

Key catalysts include team roster announcements, player injuries or withdrawals, recent bilateral T20 performance, and venue conditions. Weather forecasts for match days can shift odds significantly, as can surprise selections or tactical shifts by either coaching staff. Live match results during the series will be the strongest price drivers, with each win or loss reshaping series-winner probabilities. Media sentiment, betting-exchange volume spikes, and social media momentum can also trigger sharp repricing before and between matches.