TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 16, 8:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between England and India scheduled for 2026-07-09 in T20 Series England vs India. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to England will be considered correct if England is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to India will be considered correct if India is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between England and India scheduled for 2026-07-09 in T20 Series England vs India. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to England will be considered correct if England is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to India will be considered correct if India is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital on outcomes. For this market, prediction market participants may price the toss differently than traditional sportsbooks, particularly if one venue attracts more informed or specialized traders. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus is strongest or where outlier views exist, though each reflects genuine market expectations within its own ecosystem.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the ratio of shares outstanding and the depth of liquidity available. As traders place orders, the price adjusts in real time to balance supply and demand. Higher prices indicate stronger collective belief in that outcome, while lower prices suggest lower perceived probability. This continuous repricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and trader sentiment throughout the event window.
This market resolves around Jul 16, 2026, once the T20 toss outcome is confirmed and verifiable from credible public sources. The resolution hinges on the official result of the coin toss as documented by match officials and broadcasters. Traders holding positions in the winning outcome will receive their payout once the event concludes and the market settles. Until that point, prices may fluctuate as new information emerges or as the match date draws closer.
Several factors could shift prices in this market before resolution. Changes in team composition, injuries to key players, or weather forecasts affecting toss strategy may influence trader expectations about which captain wins the coin flip. Media commentary and expert analysis could sway sentiment if analysts highlight historical toss patterns or psychological factors. As the match date approaches, increased trading activity and late-breaking news typically drive volatility. Additionally, shifts in overall market liquidity or participation from new traders can create price movements independent of fundamental changes to the event itself.