TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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T20 Series England vs India: England vs India
polymarket
kalshi

Who will win England vs India?

Volume:
$9,616,432

England

 - Kalshi

England - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 9, 2026

Closed: Jul 11, 1:51 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

England

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,015,663
N/A
N/A
$1,011,192
Settled
Yes
polymarket

T20 Series England vs India: England vs India

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$507,979
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

T20 Series England vs India: England vs India - Completed match?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$176
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

India

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,091,589
N/A
N/A
$5,640,240
Settled
No
polymarket

T20 Series England vs India: England vs India - Who wins the toss?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,026
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 5

Intro

This market tracks the winner of the T20 International cricket match between England and India. Across Polymarket and Kalshi, the consensus probability shows England at 54.0% to win. Resolution will be determined by the finalized match result on ESPN Cricinfo. Note that the platforms show divergence on the scheduled match date, with Polymarket indicating July 9, 2026 and Kalshi indicating July 11, 2026 at 1:30 PM EDT—watch for official confirmation of the actual match start time to clarify which date applies.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's match outcome market contains a logical contradiction where both England and India winning conditions resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Additionally, the scheduled match date differs between platforms (July 9 vs July 11, 2026), creating ambiguity about which fixture is being referenced.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's match outcome market in its current form. Verify the correct match date and time with official T20 Series England vs India organizers. Request Kalshi clarify whether the market should resolve Yes for only the actual winner, or if this is a data entry error. Polymarket's granular market structure (match winner, toss, completion) provides clearer resolution paths.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Offers three separate markets: (1) Match winner resolves per ESPN Cricinfo finalized result, treating DLS, Super Over, and forfeit as ordinary wins; (2) Toss winner resolves per official toss result; (3) Match completion resolves Yes if official result declared. Scheduled for July 9, 2026. Key Quote: 'If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution.'
  • Kalshi: Single match outcome market with contradictory resolution logic: both 'If England wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If India wins...resolves to Yes' are stated as separate conditions. Scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 1:30 PM EDT. This creates logical impossibility—a single binary market cannot resolve Yes for both outcomes. Key Quote: 'If England wins the England vs India...then the market resolves to Yes. If India wins the England vs India...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the cricket match between England and India scheduled for July 9 2026 in T20 Series England vs India. This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

This market resolves based on the official result of the England vs India men's T20 International cricket match originally scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 1:30 PM EDT. If the match ends in a tie, draw, no result, abandonment, or cancellation with no official winner declared, all markets resolve to $0.50. In cases of forfeit, disqualification, or concession before the match begins, all markets resolve to $0.50. If such events occur after play has begun and the governing body declares an official winner, the market resolves accordingly. If play begins but insufficient play occurs to determine an official result, all markets resolve to $0.50.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market pricing for the England vs India T20 series across Polymarket and Kalshi, allowing traders to compare real-time odds on the same matchup. Collectively, these platforms show aggregate volume of $9,616,432 and 24-hour activity of $9,560,171, reflecting how the crowd is positioning ahead of play. The consensus view emerges as traders on both venues price their conviction independently, creating a cross-platform snapshot of implied probabilities and market depth for this bilateral series outcome.

Prediction markets like those tracked here operate on peer-to-peer pricing, where traders themselves set odds by buying and selling shares rather than accepting a sportsbook's fixed line. This crowd-sourced mechanism often reflects sharper, more dynamic pricing because traders have real money at stake and can adjust positions instantly. Sportsbooks, by contrast, manage risk and margin separately. Comparing this market's implied probability to traditional betting lines can reveal where public sentiment diverges from professional oddsmakers, sometimes highlighting value or consensus shifts.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which can cause temporary price gaps on the same event. Polymarket and Kalshi may also have slightly different user bases with varying information access or risk appetites. Additionally, order-book depth and trading volume vary between venues, so a large buy or sell on one platform may move its price faster than the other. These spreads typically narrow as arbitrageurs exploit the difference, but real-time divergence is normal and often reflects market efficiency in action.