TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 2:35 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the outcome of the Zimbabwe vs South Africa women’s professional T20 Series cricket match. Currently, the consensus probability of South Africa winning is 96.0%, while Zimbabwe winning is estimated at 55.0%. This aggregated view combines data from Polymarket and Kalshi, and will resolve based on whether South Africa wins the match originally scheduled for September 11, 2026, as defined by the resolution source. Keep an eye on the match itself on September 6, 2026, as this T20 Namibia Tri-Series fixture will likely be a key indicator of the final result.
This market refers to the cricket match between South Africa and Zimbabwe scheduled for September 6 2026 at 8:00 AM ET in T20 Namibia Tri-Series. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
The market resolves to Yes for the specified team if they are declared the official winner of the match by the governing body. If the match ends in a tie, draw, no result, abandonment, or cancellation with no official winner, all markets resolve to $0.50. If a forfeit, disqualification, or concession occurs before the match begins, all markets resolve to $0.50. If it occurs after the match begins and an official winner is declared, the market resolves based on that result. If play begins but insufficient play occurs to determine an official result, all markets resolve to $0.50. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a margin for themselves, while prediction markets rely on the wisdom of the crowd. This market benefits from the diverse knowledge and analysis of its participants, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities. Furthermore, prediction markets allow traders to hedge their bets and express nuanced opinions, which isn't always possible with standard sportsbook wagers. These factors can cause discrepancies in the implied probabilities.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices for this market may vary between Polymarket and Kalshi due to differences in user base, trading fees, and market design. Each platform attracts a different set of participants with varying levels of expertise and risk tolerance. Trading volume and liquidity can also influence price discovery; a more liquid market tends to have tighter spreads. Additionally, the specific rules and mechanisms of each platform, such as margin requirements or order types, can contribute to price divergence. These factors create independent price signals, even though both platforms track the same underlying event.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or weather forecasts affecting playing conditions could shift probabilities. Performance in preceding matches of either South Africa or Zimbabwe, or updates on pitch conditions at the venue, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the tournament itself, or even broader geopolitical events, could introduce volatility. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of each team’s chances of winning will likely move the market.