TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 17, 8:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Worcestershire and Gloucestershire scheduled for 2026-07-10 in T20 Blast. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Worcestershire will be considered correct if Worcestershire is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Gloucestershire will be considered correct if Gloucestershire is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Worcestershire and Gloucestershire scheduled for 2026-07-10 in T20 Blast. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Worcestershire will be considered correct if Worcestershire is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Gloucestershire will be considered correct if Gloucestershire is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance liability and profit, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders risking real capital on their forecasts. Sportsbooks may adjust lines more slowly in response to new information, whereas this market can reprice instantly as participants trade. For the toss outcome, comparing the current prediction market price to traditional betting odds can reveal whether one venue perceives higher or lower probability than the other, offering insight into where informed opinion clusters.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds through an automated market maker that adjusts prices based on order flow and liquidity. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The toss market price reflects the cumulative belief of all participants—each trade moves the odds incrementally, so larger positions have greater influence on the final quote. As the match approaches, prices typically stabilize once new information becomes scarce. The bid-ask spread widens or narrows depending on trading volume and uncertainty, so monitoring the spread can signal whether consensus is building or conviction remains mixed.
This market resolves around Jul 17, 2026, once the T20 Blast match between Worcestershire and Gloucestershire concludes and the toss result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team wins the coin flip at the start of play. Resolution is typically swift after the match begins, since the toss occurs before any other action. Traders should monitor official match announcements and team communications to confirm the result, as delays in reporting are rare but possible in live cricket.
Key catalysts include team news—injuries, roster changes, or tactical shifts that might influence captain confidence in calling heads or tails. Weather updates closer to match day can also shift sentiment, as conditions may favor one captain's decision-making style. Social media and analyst commentary about either team's recent toss luck or strategy can sway trader positioning. As Jul 17, 2026 approaches, any official announcements about venue, umpire assignments, or last-minute lineup changes may trigger repricing. Finally, sharp traders entering the market with large positions can move odds sharply if they signal conviction about the likely outcome.