TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 17, 6:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Warwickshire and Hampshire scheduled for 2026-07-10 in T20 Blast, Women. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Warwickshire will be considered correct if Warwickshire is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Hampshire will be considered correct if Hampshire is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Warwickshire and Hampshire scheduled for 2026-07-10 in T20 Blast, Women. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Warwickshire will be considered correct if Warwickshire is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Hampshire will be considered correct if Hampshire is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market's odds may lead or lag traditional sportsbook pricing depending on information flow and trader positioning. Comparing the two can reveal where smart money is leaning or where public perception differs from market-implied probability, though neither source guarantees accuracy on match day.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker or order-book mechanism, with each outcome represented as a tradable contract. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the collective belief of all active traders; as new information emerges or sentiment shifts, buyers and sellers adjust their bids and offers, moving the implied probability up or down. You can enter or exit your position at the current market price, and your trades contribute to the next price discovery cycle.
This market resolves around Jul 17, 2026, once the Warwickshire versus Hampshire Women's T20 Blast match concludes and the toss result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official toss call recorded at the ground on match day. No further conditions apply; the market settles based on which team won the toss, as confirmed by the match officials and broadcast coverage.
Several factors may shift trader positioning before resolution. Weather forecasts affecting pitch conditions or team strategy could influence toss-outcome expectations if either captain's typical choices become more or less predictable. Late team news, injury updates, or lineup changes might hint at tactical adjustments that correlate with toss preference. Media commentary or expert analysis published closer to match day can sway sentiment. Ultimately, the toss itself is random, but traders often price in perceived biases or historical patterns, so any new information about conditions or team intent may trigger repricing.