TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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T20 Blast, Women: The Blaze vs Surrey
polymarket
kalshi

Who will win The Blaze vs Surrey?

Volume:
$154,563

Surrey

 - Kalshi

Surrey - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 3, 2026

Closed: Jul 3, 12:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Surrey

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$89,310
N/A
N/A
$48,452
Settled
Yes
kalshi

The Blaze

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50,640
N/A
N/A
$33,778
Settled
No
polymarket

T20 Blast, Women: The Blaze vs Surrey

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,421
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

T20 Blast, Women: The Blaze vs Surrey - Who wins the toss?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$191
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

T20 Blast, Women: The Blaze vs Surrey - Completed match?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
94¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers a women's T20 Blast cricket match between The Blaze and Surrey scheduled for July 3, 2026. Markets track three distinct outcomes: match completion status, match winner, and toss winner, all resolving according to official ESPN Cricinfo records.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's match winner market contains a logical contradiction: both The Blaze winning and Surrey winning are mapped to Yes resolution, with no explicit handling of ties, abandonment, or No outcome. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as written.Hero tip: Avoid trading Kalshi's match winner market until the platform issues a clarification or amendment. The Polymarket equivalent and all toss/completion markets across both platforms are logically sound and tradeable.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Match winner resolves to the declared winner per ESPN Cricinfo. Ties without a tiebreak, abandonments, and cancellations resolve 50-50. Single, unambiguous outcome or 50-50 split. Key quote: 'If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions... the market will resolve 50-50.'
  • Kalshi: Match winner market states both The Blaze winning and Surrey winning resolve to Yes, with no explicit No condition, tie handling, or abandonment clause. Logically impossible: any match result would trigger Yes. Key quote: 'If The Blaze wins... resolves to Yes. If Surrey wins... resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the cricket match between The Blaze and Surrey scheduled for July 3 2026 in T20 Blast, Women. This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

Resolution depends on the official outcome declared by the governing body. If either team wins, that team's market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, draw, no result, abandonment, or cancellation with no official winner declared, all markets resolve to $0.50. Forfeits, disqualifications, or concessions occurring before play begins result in $0.50 resolution; if they occur after play has begun and an official winner is declared, resolution follows that result. If play begins but insufficient play occurs to determine an official result, all markets resolve to $0.50.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi derive odds from live trader positions rather than bookmaker models. Sportsbooks typically apply fixed margins and adjust lines to balance liability; prediction markets reflect continuous supply and demand. For this match, prediction market prices often move faster in response to team news, injury updates, or betting flow, whereas sportsbooks may lag or move more cautiously to protect margins. Prediction market odds tend to be sharper and less biased toward public sentiment, making them useful for comparing against traditional sportsbook lines. However, liquidity varies—prediction markets may have tighter spreads on major events but wider ones on niche matchups.

Polymarket and Kalshi operate under different regulatory frameworks and user incentives, which can create pricing gaps. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts distinct trader demographics: Polymarket draws global retail flow, while Kalshi emphasizes US-based participants. Liquidity depth, fee structures, and settlement speed also vary. On lower-volume events like regional T20 matches, these structural differences amplify price divergence. Additionally, one platform may receive information or order flow slightly ahead of the other, creating temporary arbitrage windows. Savvy traders exploit these gaps, but friction costs and withdrawal delays often prevent full convergence.

Key catalysts include team injury announcements, lineup changes, or roster updates released before match day. Weather forecasts for the venue can shift odds significantly, especially if rain threatens a shortened format. Recent form, head-to-head records, and any off-field news affecting player availability will influence trader positioning. Betting flow and sharp money entering either platform can trigger rapid repricing. Toss outcome and coin-flip dependent strategies may also drive late movement. Close to match time, any last-minute team news or venue-specific conditions—pitch reports, ground conditions—often spark volatility as traders adjust for new information.