TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 5, 5:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Lancashire Thunder and Warwickshire scheduled for 2026-06-28 in T20 Blast, Women. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Lancashire Thunder will be considered correct if Lancashire Thunder is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Warwickshire will be considered correct if Warwickshire is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Lancashire Thunder and Warwickshire scheduled for 2026-06-28 in T20 Blast, Women. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Lancashire Thunder will be considered correct if Lancashire Thunder is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Warwickshire will be considered correct if Warwickshire is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are priced purely by trader supply and demand. Traders here have direct financial exposure to accuracy, which can push prices closer to true probabilities over time. Comparing this market's odds to traditional sportsbook lines can reveal where public opinion and professional oddsmakers disagree on the toss outcome.
On Polymarket, traders buy and sell shares representing each possible toss outcome, with prices ranging from 0 to 1 reflecting the implied probability of that result. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price emerges from the collective bids and asks of all participants, meaning early traders and late arrivals can both influence the final odds. As new information surfaces or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their positions, causing prices to move dynamically until the event concludes.
This market resolves around Jul 5, 2026, once the toss result from the Lancashire Thunder versus Warwickshire match is confirmed and verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official toss call recorded at the start of the match. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while those on the losing side forfeit their stake. Resolution is typically swift, occurring shortly after the match begins and the toss is officially announced.
Several factors can shift trader sentiment before the match begins. Weather conditions, pitch reports, and team news regarding player availability may influence perceptions of which captain is more likely to win the toss or how they might use it. Social media discussion, expert commentary, and late-breaking injury updates can all trigger repricing as traders reassess their positions. Additionally, large trades by high-volume participants can create momentum, drawing other traders to follow or fade the move, creating cascading price adjustments.