TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 19, 2:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Lancashire Thunder and Durham scheduled for 2026-07-12 in T20 Blast, Women. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Lancashire Thunder will be considered correct if Lancashire Thunder is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Durham will be considered correct if Durham is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Lancashire Thunder and Durham scheduled for 2026-07-12 in T20 Blast, Women. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Lancashire Thunder will be considered correct if Lancashire Thunder is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Durham will be considered correct if Durham is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker and order-book mechanisms that allow traders to buy and sell shares representing each possible toss outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices move in real time as new trades execute, with the current odds reflecting the collective belief of all active participants. Each outcome is represented as a separate contract, and the sum of all outcome probabilities equals 100 percent. Traders profit by correctly predicting which outcome will occur, creating an incentive to price the market accurately. The more traders participate and the higher the volume, the more efficient and reliable the price signal typically becomes.
This market resolves around Jul 19, 2026, once the toss result from the Lancashire Thunder versus Durham match is confirmed and verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by what actually occurs during the official toss ceremony before play begins. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will receive their payout once the event concludes and the result is finalized on the platform. Until that point, prices will fluctuate based on pre-match analysis, team news, and market sentiment. Resolution is automatic once the necessary information becomes available and is validated.
Several factors could shift odds in this market before the match begins. Team news—such as injury updates, lineup changes, or last-minute roster decisions—often influences toss-outcome expectations because certain captains or conditions may favor one result. Weather forecasts and pitch reports released closer to match day can also sway trader positioning, as some teams prefer to bat or field first depending on conditions. Media commentary and expert analysis circulating on social platforms may cause repricing as new information spreads. Finally, late trading volume and sharp money moving into one outcome can signal informed positioning, prompting other traders to adjust their positions accordingly. All these signals feed into the live price you see on the dashboard.