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T20 Blast, Women: Hampshire vs Lancashire Thunder - Most Sixes
polymarket
kalshi

Which team will hit more sixes: Hampshire vs Lancashire Thunder?

Volume:
$10,929

Hampshire

 - Kalshi

Hampshire - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 5, 2026

Closed: Jul 5, 9:10 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Hampshire

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,529
N/A
N/A
$6,197
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Lancashire Thunder

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,399
N/A
N/A
$2,808
Settled
No
polymarket

HAM

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

LAN

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group determines which team hits the most sixes in a women's T20 Blast cricket match between Hampshire and Lancashire Thunder scheduled for July 5, 2026. Markets across platforms resolve based on official sixes statistics, with provisions for draws when both teams hit equal sixes or the match cannot be completed with recorded statistics.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market resolves on match outcome (Yes if either team wins), while Polymarket resolves on sixes count (Hampshire, Lancashire Thunder, or Draw). These are fundamentally different events with incompatible resolution logic.Hero tip: Kalshi's market is not a sixes market—it resolves Yes whenever the match is completed with a winner. Polymarket is the true sixes market. Do not assume these markets are correlated or interchangeable. If you want sixes exposure, use Polymarket only.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Binary match-outcome market. Resolves Yes if Hampshire wins OR Lancashire Thunder wins. No mention of sixes counting. This is a match-completion market, not a sixes-comparison market.
  • Polymarket: Three-outcome sixes-comparison market. Resolves Hampshire (if Hampshire hits more sixes), Lancashire Thunder (if Lancashire Thunder hits more sixes), or Draw (if equal sixes or match not completed with statistics). Explicitly counts sixes from bat only, excludes super overs and extras.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to which team hits the greater number of sixes in the cricket match between Hampshire and Lancashire Thunder scheduled for 2026-07-05 in T20 Blast, Women. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Hampshire will be considered correct if Hampshire is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Lancashire Thunder.The outcome corresponding to Lancashire Thunder will be considered correct if Lancashire Thunder is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Hampshire. If both teams record the same number of sixes, the market will resolve to "Draw". The market will resolve according to the team that hits the greater number of sixes in the match regardless of if the match is not competed (e.g. Due to weather conditions)/ Only sixes scored from the bat (off any delivery- legal or not) will count towards the total sixes. Overthrows and extras do not count. Sixes scored in a super over do not count. In First Class games, only first innings sixes will count. If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without official sixes statistics being recorded, the market will resolve "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and official statistics are available.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the official match result. If Hampshire wins, their market resolves Yes; if Lancashire Thunder wins, their market resolves Yes. If the match ends in a tie, draw, no result, abandonment, or cancellation with no official winner declared, all markets resolve to $0.50. Forfeits, disqualifications, or concessions occurring before the match begins result in $0.50 resolution; if they occur after play has begun and the governing body declares an official winner, resolution follows that result. If play begins but insufficient play occurs to determine an official result, all markets resolve to $0.50.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi differ from traditional sportsbooks in that traders set odds through continuous buying and selling rather than a bookmaker's fixed margin. Sportsbooks typically embed a 4–6% edge, while prediction markets often reflect tighter spreads because participants are betting against each other. For this market, prediction odds may move faster than sportsbook lines once team news or weather updates emerge, since traders react in real time. However, sportsbooks sometimes offer better liquidity on major events, whereas niche markets like most sixes may show wider spreads on either platform.

Polymarket and Kalshi operate under different regulatory frameworks and user bases, which can create pricing gaps on the same outcome. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Kalshi's U.S.-focused audience and Polymarket's global trader pool may weight team form, injury reports, or pitch conditions differently. Settlement rules, fee structures, and liquidity depth also vary between platforms—a larger order on one exchange can move the price faster than on the other. These differences typically narrow as the match approaches and new information becomes public, but arbitrage opportunities can persist for traders monitoring both venues.